WHAT-IF · COUNTERFACTUAL MODELING

What-if scenarios.

Counterfactual analysis of programming and distribution decisions

PACCS models alternative pathways for a submission — what changes if the runtime is shorter, the distributor is different, the festival window slips, or the territory is reframed. Each scenario carries its own confidence and reasoning.

THREE PATHWAYS · ONE FILM

Demo film · "The Silent Echo"

SCENARIO · A · BASELINE

A-tier festival route

Festival fit82
Distributor pickup71
Expected revenue£450K
Time to release14 mo

Sundance / SXSW launch, specialty distributor (A24, MUBI), theatrical-first release.

SCENARIO · B · STREAMING-FIRST

Direct-to-streamer pathway

Festival fit−14
Distributor pickup+18
Expected revenue£380K
Time to release6 mo

Skip the festival circuit, pre-sell to a streamer. Faster, lower-risk, lower ceiling.

SCENARIO · C · GENRE PIVOT

Reframed as fantastic / arthouse

Festival fit+9
Distributor pickup−5
Expected revenue£520K
Time to release16 mo

Reposition messaging for genre festivals (Sitges, Fantastic Fest). Higher upside, narrower distributor pool.

HOW IT WORKS

Counterfactual reasoning.

Each scenario re-runs the agent mesh with one input parameter modified. The orchestrator returns the deltas — fit, pickup, revenue, timeline — alongside the reasoning trace. Confidence is reported per scenario.

On the roadmap

What-if scenarios launches on PACCS soon

Drop your email and we'll let you know the moment this feature is live. No marketing list, no other email — just one update when it ships.